Equity Capital Markets Update & Outlook Q1 2024

By ICR

The equity capital markets saw heavy issuance activity in the first quarter with IPO, follow-on, block trade and convertible volume up over 100% year-over-year. Aided by a more constructive investor sentiment towards new issuance activity, March ended as the most active month since November 2021, accounting for 43% of the total Q1 volume.

“Optimism towards potential rate cuts later in 2024 combined with the continued strength in the economy propelled equities higher with all major equity indices hitting all-time highs. These favorable market conditions led to a resurgence in equity issuance in Q1,” said Steve Parish, Co-Head of ICR Capital.

Setting the tone from an issuance perspective in Q1 was an active block and follow-on market with $43 billion in gross proceeds. Financial Sponsors took advantage of the favorable market conditions, raising $27 billion in secondary proceeds. The increase in capital markets activity was bolstered by a continuation of strong pricing outcomes.

Most notably, IPO activity increased to 15 IPOs raising over $7 billion in proceeds, more than tripling year-over-year IPO issuance. Notable offerings in Q1 included IPOs for Brightspring Health, Amer Sports, BBB Foods, Astera Labs and Reddit.

“In the context of the recent AI boom, high-profile tech IPOs by Reddit and Astera Labs were well received by investors, demonstrating strong aftermarket trading. This has sparked the attention of other pre-IPO tech companies,” remarked Lee Stettner, Co-Head of ICR Capital.

As strong aftermarket performance and a robust IPO pipeline signal momentum to continue into the spring and summer months, ICR is seeing more companies taking steps in anticipation of commencing IPO processes,” added Lindsay Hyde, Managing Director.

“We expect issuers in technology, healthcare, and consumer sectors to be among the leaders in IPO activity in 2024 and 2025,” noted Ashu Vats, Managing Director.

Another driving force behind the strong equity capital markets activity in Q1, the convertible market saw an explosion of issuance as high interest rates, rising stock prices, and a wall of debt maturities in 2024 and 2025 led to the highest quarterly convertible issuance since Q1 2021. There has been over $20 billion of issuance across 31 deals, increasing 51% year-over-year.

“Q1 has been extremely active, and March saw the busiest week of convertible bond issuance since February 2021. Notably, more and more convertible issuers are using independent convertible advisers on their deals, and we have advised on $5bn+ of deals in the last several months,” said Syed Raj Imteaz, Head of Convertible and Equity Derivatives Advisory at ICR Capital. “We expect heightened deal flow in Q2 as well as more companies access the convertible market to manage their interest costs.”

Overall, ICR Capital continues to be optimistic that the recent economic and market trends will allow equity and equity related issuance to remain robust throughout 2024 into 2025.

Download the full ICR Capital Q1 2024 Equity Capital Markets Update & Outlook report.